Ambition is the last refuge of failure.

With the current situation with North Korea, and their threats of using nuclear power, I began to do a little bit of research into nuclear detonation.  I ran across a lesser known (at least I haven't read about it in any news articles, or mentioned by any sort of media thus far....) nuclear weapon known as Electromagnetic Pulse, (EMP).

EMP is actually the result of a nuclear explosion at high-altitudes, above the earth's atmosphere.  The higher the magnetic field is under the area of the explosion, the more wide-spread the damage.  An E1 wave of such an explosion above the atmosphere would wipe out every electronic dependent device in the affected area.  The electrons released into the atmosphere would ensure an electro-magnetic field that would last months, if not years.

EMP has evidently been known to exist since the Cold War, and even studied a bit, but the result of an EMP have only recently become a concern for the US government, because of our country's wide-reliance on electonics of every kind, which would be rendered completely useless, in the event of a nuclear EMP attack.

Because the United States has an extremely high magnetic field, a well-aimed, high altitude nuclear explosion, would affect literally the entire United States.  As stated by the Federation of American Scientists, "A large device detonated at 400–500 km (250 to 312 miles) over Kansas would affect all of the continental U.S." 

The Immediate Effect:

So let's consider this for a minute.  Such an attack would result not only in the entire United States, from California, to New York, losing power, but nearly every device we are so dependent on today would become useless.  Not only would we lose our home telephones, we would lose our cellphones and music players.  Not only would we lose our personal computers, we would lose every device dependant on computers, such as our modern cars, and airplanes.  Large back-up generators for hospitals, prisons, nursing homes, etc. that were powered by electricity off-site would be lost.   In a moment, we would be transported back to the 1800's when we were dependant upon steam-engine trains, and our cattle, and produce farms.

Our modern American society is so dependant on our vehicles, not simply for transportation of ourselves, but of our food, our medicines, our clothes.  No longer would daily deliveries of food be made, and a rising panic would ensure that every supper-market across the country would be picked clean in a matter of days.  What little medicines the local pharmacies would have on hand would become more important than gold, for those with terminal illnesses, both physical and mental, and would likely be gone in a matter of days as well.  Survival would boil down to what you had on hand, or could get in those first few days. 

Those in nursing homes or hospices, especially those with electronic pace-makers, on oxygen, IV or other forms of electronic medical devices would likely die within days, a slow, torturous death.  Prisoners would likely escape relatively easily, as most prisons are locked down by computers, and guarded with electronic alarms.  Human guards would be overrun by those fighting to get out, once the realization hit that the prisoners that only thing that stood between them and freedom was a couple of outnumbered men with guns.

All communications would be cut off.  If you lived in a small community or town that was miles away from other areas, you would be completely in the dark as to what was happening, or any guidance as to what to do, or where to go.  People with family in other cities, or states, would have no way of contacting their loved ones.  We would have no reassurances from our government, no updates on the situation from CNN of FOX, no daily newspaper with information hot off the wire.  Each town and city would ultimately be on their own in terms of managing their people.

The Extended Effect:

Martial law would likely be enacted over-all.  While some communities would manage this with dignity and attempt to stay true to American ideals, others might begin to let that power go to their head, harshly punishing, or even executing whomever they wished for whatever, or no, reason.

Travel would be limited to what you could do on foot, or on a bicycle.  Guns would likely become commonplace, and ammunition worth more than money. 

Depending on the size of community, and their ability to feed their citizens, after a matter of weeks, or, (if you were lucky,) months, people would begin to run out of food.  Those on the east coast that have a higher ratio of people to land that can grow crops, farm cattle, or animals in the forest would suffer more than those in the west, who are more spread out, and have more access to farms, and wild territory.

People dependent on medication to survive would begin to run low on their reserves, assuming they had any.  Chronic asthmatics reliant upon rescue inhalers would begin having more and more attacks, beginning the slow, and extremely painful, descent into death from suffocation.  Diabetics reliant on daily insulin would begin to phsically slow, becoming constantly thirstly as their bodies began to shut down.  People that would not have survived long a hundred and fifty years ago, especially in a weakened state of hunger, would die in increasing amounts.

Lack of medicines such as antibiotics, would mean an increase of infections, and diseases.  A staph infected cut might mean death, if not properly cleaned and maintained.  Diseases that come with poor nutrition, such as scurvy, might become rampant.  Hepatitis A or B, HIV, tuberculosis, and even the flu, would mean death for many.  Outbreaks of salmonella and dysentary would become a real concern, as there would no longer be any hospitals.

Then there would be people of my generation, those born in the 80's, and even some a bit before that.  My generation as a whole has very little knowledge of how to function without electronics.  While we can create intricate webpages, write tons of code, and manipulate photos to an amazing degree, we have no idea how to skin a deer, or build a small game trap.  We don't know how to dress wounds with moss or leaves with natural antiseptic, or which roots are okay to eat.  Living in nature is about as foreign to us as an alien from planet Kalooptra.  All our hard work building up our technical skills would be wasted, and we would be next to useless in a community where skills and knowledge dealing with steam, health/medicines, and hunting, would be ideal.

The whole of American being in such a fractured, and vulnerable state, would be open for the taking, if a country had the means, and desire to do so.  Gone would be our country with a united front, ready and able to fight for our freedom.  In it's place would be small governments attempting to protect their populace from starvation, disease, and outsiders (originally other Americans), trying to steal food, or wreck mayhem.  The United States would be reduced, nearly overnight, to that of a third world country.  Even if a government managed to stay in place in such mayhem, it would no longer have the means of mass-transporting their soldiers, and communication, though possible, would likely be back to civil-war-like means, none of which would be able to stand up to an outside military attack on land.  And let's be honest, if such an occur were to happen, how many of us would even trust the government? 

So an EMP attack on the United States of America would be the death blow, hard to recover from, if recovery was possible at all.  Let's all hope that isn't the way we go out.

 

 

 

 

 


Comments
on Jun 15, 2009

gee.......sounds like the apocalypse to me. 

on Jun 15, 2009

gee.......sounds like the apocalypse to me.

Suppose that depends on what you consider the apocalypse to be...  some believe it to be more spiritual than physical.

on Jun 15, 2009

NK doesn't have a device big enough to black out the US. While it would be a mess for the US on the short term, the military has been well aware of this effect for decades. Critical sites are hardened against these types of attacks. Even modern warships and aircraft. All these things were being addressed long before I retired from the military, I can only imagine how far precautions have progressed since then. Power grids are also being updated. While the effects could last a while for some, there will be vehicles back on the roads within hours. I know it would be the end of the world for some if they couldn't text message for a while, but it would hardly be the end of the US. Remember the Y2K scare? It sold a lot of science fiction too.

I'd be more concered about the fallout, especially in NK after the relatitory strike.

on Jun 15, 2009

While there has been some mention of protecting military electronics to some degree in what I have found, I have not found any proof that the civilian infastructure would be any less vulnerable.

 

on Jun 15, 2009

NK doesn't have a device big enough to black out the US.

Didn't say NK would be the ones to initiate the attack, simply that the current situation with NK is what inspired me to look into nuclear war, which is how I came upon EMP.

on Jun 15, 2009

How would modern cars be up and running if the engines computers would be, essentially, short-circuited?  This would take a replacement of that part to be fixed, and that would take months alone, first fixing enough military and government vehicles (assumedly), and then enough food and medicine transportation.

 

on Jun 15, 2009

Remember the Y2K scare?

Yes, I do.  I also know that, at least at certain levels, the government was unsure about the possibilities as well, and had taken "extra-precautions," (such as extra-night-round shifts with more people than usual monitering back-up computers) that night.

Sure, it can be sold as some kind of sci-fi-y kind of situation, however, that doesn't make the potential for it to be any less drastic.  Of course, we can only base what we know on the tests run in the 60's over the Pacific, (which affected Hawaii 800 miles away, wiping out a couple hundred streetlights) and the information from the Soviet Unions tests (that caused damage to a power plant) during a time that our electronic system wasn't near as vital as it is today.

I'm not saying "run for the hills," however I do think that our society in all its technological power and glory, could be standing on the edge of the abyss if the technology and power is suddenly gone.

on Jun 15, 2009

Suppose that depends on what you consider the apocalypse to be... some believe it to be more spiritual than physical.

most, as do I, believe it's physical.  I actually believe it's already started but time will tell.  Although I have no clue where NK fits into all this.  As far as I know, nowhere. 

 

on Jun 15, 2009

A lot of folks think computers just fry after an EMP. That may happen under some circumstances, but more likely circuit breakers will trip and fuses will blow. Most modern computer are shielded (which is why you should leave the case closed) and computers in vehicles even more in plastic housings (it's a hostile environment under the hood under normal conditions). Sensitive equipment will be at risk and much will depend on distance from the blast. Surface blasts also produce the effect, but again, in this case I would be more concerned about the actual explosion.

Here is a short read about it from FAS. I think if you read it you'll come to the conclusion that only Russia (and possibly China) have the technology to inflict an EMP on the magnitude you speak of and they still have to get their device at the optimal position and altitude (higher than a plane can fly) over the US. I believe it should be a concern, but not the concern if you know what I mean. These countries would never risk a retaliate strike just in an attempt to "blind" us. This is an effect only a terrorist would want, of course I think they would want the destructive blast effect more, unless it could be miniaturized for the battlefield without affecting ones own electronics... maybe in the future.

BTW the ALQ-99 (airborne ecm pods) can achieve this effect on a small scale, including destroying (burning out) delicate electronics. It doesn't use EMP, but they do radiate. First hand info from operators.

on Jun 15, 2009

Here is a short read about it from FAS.

I've actually been reading the actual report done by the federally funded commission that did studies on EMP.  They reported their conclusions in April 2008, and yes, their first priority would be electrical parts, such as circuit breakers, of which there are thousands upon thousands in the USA, which we have neither the manpower, nor the parts for, according to their research.  Our current infastructure is built nearly completely on electricity, and a lack would cause thousands of deaths within a week, according to the report.

Perhaps what you say about the plastic covering the pc's being enough, however I have read that surge protectors (even expensive ones) couldn't protect against an E1 blast, the most powerful, and quickest, of the blasts that might come from such an explosion, and that would fry the internal hardware if the pc were to be plugged in.

I will, however, check out your link.

on Jun 16, 2009

Unfortunately (or fortunately, depending how you look at it) the last US nuclear air burst was in 1964. It had far ranging effects, like popping street lights out in Hawaii hundreds of miles from the blast (no cars or other electronic affected), so there is little real world data to tell us exactly how modern electronics would handle EMP, only what has been laboratory tested or simulated.

I personally don't feel currently that militarily it's worth it as a weapon for the following reasons:

1. Unknown level of results, the developer would have to "trust the physic models" without a practical test, since air bursts are banned.

2, Getting the device safely to the best location (which happens to be the least populated part of the US) and optimal altitude (which at this point can only be achieved by a missile).

3. Have a motive for doing it, since the length of the recovery time after the effect is uncertain. So while it might do some harm, it probably won't bring the US to its knees (definitely not militarily).

4. Any missile inbound CONUS would have been tracked and detected long enough for a military response from the US. Using a submarine as a platform would be the best choice to lower missile flight time. The problem only a few nations have submarine ICBM launch capability. I don't think the UK would do it, so Russia would be the culprit...missiles and WWIII heading their way.

5. If surprise, the technology, and a good reason for doing it could be found there is still the fact that it will not affect the US's ability to retaliate. Missile silos are definitely hard targets, deep in the ground. there are always nuclear armed subs at sea. The air force bombers on alert can be launched quickly enough, and since they are designed to deliver these types of weapons, I'd say they have a high chance of survival.

IMO, and to wrap it up, it's way too risky to do, just to inconvenience Americans for a period of time undetermined, unless you have an invading army sitting off both coasts. I feel it is a worthy topic to understand and plan for, but mainly because EMP occurs with all types of nuclear blasts and you want your forces capabilities intact should a device explode near by. Personally, I've been a few feet away from live devices, and that's as close as I ever want to come. Hope I never see one being used.

on Jun 16, 2009

I suppose Nitro, that our terms of inconveniant differ.  As I said, I have been reading the report put out by the EMP commission in 2008, and within the first few pages they describe how our entire infastructure is interdependant, and that the electrical infastructure is the backbone of that interdependancy model. 

Here is the link for the report, perhaps (assuming you haven't read it) you will see where I am coming from if you even scan the first few "chapters."

http://empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdf

Yes, this entire situation is based upon ability and motive to create such an explosion, however it is a rather egotistical view to assume that no country would have those.  Who knows what an alliance of countries (though which countries is certainly up for debate,) might do.  All it would take is one high altitude missile, not many. 

If it was simply an inconveniance as you described, then yes, it would be too risky an act, especially considering the way America retaliates.  However, if it did happen as studied and described in the report, then the title of "world power" would likely be up for the taking.

on Jun 16, 2009

The point I'm trying to make is there are only three (possibly four) countries that currently perform the action, besides us. UK, France, and Russia (possibly China). A device of one MT in yield, exploded at 250kn over the central US. Terrorists would love this capability, so would NK and Iran, but they can't do it yet for the foreseeable future.

I looked at your link...wonderful. I don't dispute the science. Even you're report doesn't suggest a motive why someone with the capability would attempt it, only that it is a possibility. Great, I get it. The earth getting hit by an asteroid is also a possibility, and like EMP, I'm not concerned too much about it happening. Why? Because while scientifically possible, it's currently highly unlikely. I'm glad they are studying it though. If an EMP is used against us, we will be having much larger problems than lack of electricity. Why? Because other nukes will be falling as well, here and on the attacker. 

Your article suggests, but doesn't state, that somehow only the US will be wiped out and someone else will be the new super power. You have not given a plausible scenario why an EMP is exploded, where there is no US response or no escalation. I'm saying you're science is right, but there are no conditions at this point in time for this to occur. Hopefully our technology will advance enough by the time terrorists get this capability, it can be negated or eliminated all together. I know it seems like all the information is available on the internet. It isn't. And that includes our hardening techniques.

If you want a scenario here's one for you, it's as plausible as any. Obama, fearful of losing the 2012 election, covertly orders a single Minuteman III ICBM carrying a single nuclear warhead, 1MT nominal yield. The warhead explodes 250 km over Kansas. The blasts paralyzes the US, and the American people unite under the banner of hope and change, Canada and Mexico are not amused.

Again your right about effects, but you're not convincing me that it is probable in the foreseeable future. If the article is about the effect of EMP, I'd recommend a new title and some changes to other parts of the article. Other than that good job on the awareness. 

on Jun 24, 2009

Again your right about effects, but you're not convincing me that it is probable in the foreseeable future. If the article is about the effect of EMP, I'd recommend a new title and some changes to other parts of the article. Other than that good job on the awareness.

Matter of opinion and perspective I suppose.  This wasn't about who or why, simply if/when. 

Thank you for the insight, however.  Does offer another side.